Single poll

Civey poll of 26 April 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
19 to 26 Apr 2021
Respondents
10,039
Method
Online
  • Grüne29.0%+4.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-5.0
  • SPD15.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%+2.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Apr 2021.

In this poll Civey has Grüne ahead on 29.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 10,039 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 5.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 5.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +5.7average 23.3
  • CDU/CSU -2.5average 26.5
  • AfD -1.7average 10.7
  • Linke -1.4average 7.4
  • FDP +0.5average 10.5
  • SPD -0.2average 15.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 194 seatsCDU/CSU: 161 seatsSPD: 101 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 60 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne194
  • CDU/CSU161
  • SPD101
  • FDP74
  • AfD60
  • Linke40
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU355 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP369 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke335 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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