Civey poll of 21 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 10,064
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne25.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Apr 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 10,064 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Apr 2021, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.8 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 22.2
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 27.2
- FDP -1.2average 10.2
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- Linke -0.6average 7.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne166
- SPD100
- AfD66
- FDP60
- Linke46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.