Civey poll of 14 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 10,054
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+2.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Apr 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,054 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Apr 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 27.3
- SPD -2.1average 16.1
- Grüne +1.2average 21.8
- AfD -1.1average 11.1
- Linke -0.8average 7.8
- FDP -0.4average 9.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne156
- SPD95
- AfD68
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.