Civey poll of 15 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 15 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 10,029
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Sep 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,029 people were surveyed from 8 to 15 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Sep 2021, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
- AfD -1.4average 11.4
- Grüne +0.9average 16.1
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- FDP +0.5average 11.5
- Linke -0.2average 6.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD169
- CDU/CSU156
- Grüne115
- FDP81
- AfD68
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU325 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.