Civey poll of 23 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 10,012
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Sep 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,012 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Sep 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Sep 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.2average 11.2
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 22.0
- FDP +0.8average 11.2
- SPD -0.7average 25.7
- Linke -0.4average 6.4
- Grüne +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD171
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne110
- FDP82
- AfD68
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP350 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.