Civey poll of 6 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Sep 2021 to 6 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 10,009
- Method
- Online
- SPD28.0%+3.0
- CDU/CSU19.0%-4.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP14.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 Sep 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 10,009 people were surveyed from 29 Sep 2021 to 6 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 Sep 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.0 points lower and FDP 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.0average 22.0
- FDP +2.2average 11.8
- SPD +2.0average 26.0
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD189
- CDU/CSU129
- Grüne102
- FDP95
- AfD74
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP386 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD365 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD358 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.