Civey poll of 13 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 13 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 10,013
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%-2.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%+1.0
- FDP15.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Oct 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 10,013 people were surveyed from 6 to 13 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Oct 2021, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 2.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.7average 12.3
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 21.5
- Grüne -1.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- SPD -0.3average 26.3
- Linke +0.2average 5.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU137
- FDP103
- Grüne96
- AfD75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP418 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne411 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD390 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Grüne377 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke356 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne336 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.