Civey poll of 20 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 10,028
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%±0
- FDP15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 10,028 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has FDP 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +2.2average 12.8
- SPD -1.4average 26.4
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 20.9
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD171
- CDU/CSU137
- FDP103
- Grüne103
- AfD75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP411 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne411 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD383 of 630
- SPD + FDP + Grüne377 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.