Civey poll of 27 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 10,050
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP14.0%-1.0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Oct 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 10,050 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Oct 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.3average 12.7
- SPD -1.2average 26.2
- AfD +1.2average 10.8
- Linke -0.9average 5.9
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 21.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD171
- CDU/CSU144
- Grüne103
- FDP96
- AfD82
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne418 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP411 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD397 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.