Civey poll of 3 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Oct 2021 to 3 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 10,069
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP13.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Oct 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 10,069 people were surveyed from 27 Oct 2021 to 3 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Oct 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -0.7average 5.7
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 21.4
- Grüne -0.5average 15.5
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- SPD -0.2average 26.2
- FDP +0.1average 12.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU151
- Grüne103
- FDP89
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.