Civey poll of 17 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 10,077
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Nov 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,077 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Nov 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 20.9
- FDP -1.5average 13.5
- Grüne -0.8average 15.8
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- SPD -0.6average 26.6
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne103
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.