Civey poll of 24 November 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Nov 2021
- Respondents
- 10,064
- Method
- Online
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Nov 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 10,064 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Nov 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Nov 2021, SPD loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and FDP 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 21.6
- FDP -2.1average 13.1
- SPD -1.1average 26.1
- Grüne -0.9average 15.9
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD173
- CDU/CSU166
- Grüne104
- FDP76
- AfD76
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.