Civey poll of 1 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Nov 2021 to 1 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 10,078
- Method
- Online
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Nov 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 10,078 people were surveyed from 24 Nov 2021 to 1 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Nov 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and FDP 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 21.6
- FDP -1.7average 12.7
- Grüne -1.4average 16.4
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.3average 25.7
- Linke -0.2average 5.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU165
- Grüne103
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.