Civey poll of 8 December 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Dec 2021
- Respondents
- 10,043
- Method
- Online
- SPD27.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Dec 2021.
In this poll Civey has SPD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 10,043 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Dec 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 1 Dec 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Dec 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 21.2
- FDP -1.8average 12.8
- Grüne -1.2average 16.2
- SPD +0.6average 26.4
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke -0.1average 5.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD185
- CDU/CSU158
- Grüne103
- FDP75
- AfD75
- Linke34
- SPD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD335 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.