Civey poll of 3 February 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 22 Jan 2022 to 3 Feb 2022
- Respondents
- 10,070
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU25.0%+2.0
- SPD25.0%-2.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Dec 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 10,070 people were surveyed from 22 Jan 2022 to 3 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Dec 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 16.1
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 24.3
- FDP -0.6average 10.6
- SPD +0.4average 24.6
- AfD +0.3average 10.7
- Linke +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU171
- SPD171
- Grüne103
- AfD75
- FDP69
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.