Civey poll of 27 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 11,878
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.7%+1.5
- SPD18.1%+1.6
- Grüne12.6%+0.1
- AfD12.1%-2.5
- Linke10.4%+0.4
- FDP8.1%-1.3
- Others5.0%+0.2
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Feb 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.7%, followed by SPD on 18.1%. 11,878 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 20 Feb 2018, AfD loses 2.5 points, SPD gains 1.6 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 14.1
- FDP -1.0average 9.1
- Grüne +0.8average 11.8
- SPD +0.7average 17.4
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 33.2
- Linke +0.1average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD120
- Grüne84
- AfD80
- Linke69
- FDP54
- CDU/CSU + SPD343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP346 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.