Civey poll of 27 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 11,868
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.2%-2.5
- SPD17.2%-0.9
- AfD15.4%+3.3
- Grüne11.9%-0.7
- Linke10.5%+0.1
- FDP9.3%+1.2
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Feb 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.2%, followed by SPD on 17.2%. 11,868 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Feb 2018, AfD gains 3.3 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, FDP gains 1.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.7average 13.7
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 32.7
- SPD -0.9average 18.1
- Grüne +0.3average 11.6
- Linke -0.3average 10.8
- FDP ±0average 9.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- SPD113
- AfD102
- Grüne79
- Linke69
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.