Civey poll of 29 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 29 May 2018
- Respondents
- 11,925
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.2%+1.0
- SPD16.6%-0.6
- AfD15.2%-0.2
- Grüne12.0%+0.1
- Linke10.2%-0.3
- FDP9.2%-0.1
- Others4.6%+0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Mar 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.2%, followed by SPD on 16.6%. 11,925 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Mar 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.3average 17.9
- AfD +1.3average 13.9
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 33.1
- FDP +0.8average 8.4
- Grüne -0.2average 12.2
- Linke -0.1average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- SPD110
- AfD100
- Grüne79
- Linke67
- FDP61
- CDU/CSU + SPD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.