Civey poll of 27 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 26 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 10,033
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.8%-2.4
- SPD17.7%+1.1
- AfD16.1%+0.9
- Grüne12.7%+0.7
- Linke10.1%-0.1
- FDP8.7%-0.5
- Others4.9%+0.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 May 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.8%, followed by SPD on 17.7%. 10,033 people were surveyed from 19 to 26 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 May 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.4 points, SPD gains 1.1 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 31.4
- AfD +1.3average 14.8
- SPD -0.6average 18.3
- Grüne +0.6average 12.1
- FDP -0.2average 8.9
- Linke -0.1average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD117
- AfD107
- Grüne84
- Linke67
- FDP58
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD421 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne388 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.