Civey poll of 7 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2018 to 7 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 11,907
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU30.1%+0.3
- SPD17.4%-0.3
- AfD15.8%-0.3
- Grüne14.0%+1.3
- Linke9.8%-0.3
- FDP7.8%-0.9
- Others5.1%+0.2
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Jun 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.1%, followed by SPD on 17.4%. 11,907 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2018 to 7 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Jun 2018, Grüne gains 1.3 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.8average 8.6
- Grüne +0.7average 13.3
- SPD -0.5average 17.9
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 30.2
- Linke -0.1average 9.9
- AfD ±0average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- SPD115
- AfD105
- Grüne93
- Linke65
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke380 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.