Civey poll of 17 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 11,882
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.1
- SPD17.8%+0.4
- AfD15.3%-0.5
- Grüne14.6%+0.6
- Linke9.7%-0.1
- FDP8.5%+0.7
- Others5.1%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Aug 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 17.8%. 11,882 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Aug 2018, CDU/CSU loses 1.1 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.7average 13.9
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.4
- SPD -0.3average 18.1
- AfD -0.2average 15.5
- Linke ±0average 9.7
- FDP ±0average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- SPD118
- AfD102
- Grüne97
- Linke64
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne408 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.