Civey poll of 20 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 11,909
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU32.2%-1.1
- SPD16.5%+0.1
- AfD14.6%+1.4
- Grüne12.5%-0.3
- Linke10.0%-0.2
- FDP9.4%+0.1
- Others4.8%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Feb 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.2%, followed by SPD on 16.5%. 11,909 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Feb 2018, AfD gains 1.4 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.1 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 17.9
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 32.9
- AfD +0.6average 14.0
- FDP +0.6average 8.8
- Grüne +0.3average 12.2
- Linke -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU213
- SPD109
- AfD97
- Grüne83
- Linke66
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.