Civey poll of 13 February 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 13 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 11,841
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.3%+2.2
- SPD16.4%-2.9
- AfD13.2%-1.3
- Grüne12.8%+1.7
- Linke10.2%+0.3
- FDP9.3%±0
- Others4.8%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Jan 2018.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.3%, followed by SPD on 16.4%. 11,841 people were surveyed from 9 to 13 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Jan 2018, SPD loses 2.9 points, CDU/CSU gains 2.2 points, Grüne gains 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 18.7
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 32.3
- Grüne +0.9average 11.9
- AfD -0.3average 13.5
- Linke +0.1average 10.1
- FDP +0.1average 9.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD109
- AfD87
- Grüne85
- Linke67
- FDP62
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne392 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.