Civey poll of 3 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jul 2023 to 3 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 10,020
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jun 2023.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 10,020 people were surveyed from 27 Jul 2023 to 3 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 20.5
- SPD +1.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- SPD132
- AfD131
- Grüne104
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD443 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne415 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.