Civey poll of 20 February 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Seven.One
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 20 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 10,036
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+4.0
- AfD21.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%-4.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%+2.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- BSW4.0%
- Freie Wähler1.0%
- Others3.0%-6.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Aug 2023.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 10,036 people were surveyed from 13 to 20 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Seven.One.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 3 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 2.0
- AfD +0.8average 20.2
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- FDP +0.8average 4.2
- Linke +0.7average 6.3
- BSW -0.6average 4.6
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU ±0average 30.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD144
- SPD103
- Grüne96
- Linke48
- FDP34
- CDU/CSU + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.