Single poll

Civey poll of 19 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
9 to 17 Apr 2017
Respondents
7,549
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.4%-0.7
  • SPD29.8%-0.3
  • AfD9.5%+0.5
  • Linke8.7%+0.1
  • Grüne7.2%+0.2
  • FDP6.3%+0.5
  • Others4.1%-0.3

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Apr 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.4%, followed by SPD on 29.8%. 7,549 people were surveyed from 9 to 17 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Apr 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 31.1
  • Linke +0.6average 8.1
  • AfD +0.4average 9.1
  • FDP +0.4average 5.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 34.5
  • Grüne -0.1average 7.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 226 seatsSPD: 196 seatsAfD: 63 seatsLinke: 57 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsFDP: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU226
  • SPD196
  • AfD63
  • Linke57
  • Grüne47
  • FDP41
  • CDU/CSU + SPD422 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP324 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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