Single poll

Civey poll of 11 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Apr 2017
Respondents
7,544
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.1%+0.8
  • SPD30.1%-1.8
  • AfD9.0%+0.8
  • Linke8.6%+0.7
  • Grüne7.0%+0.2
  • FDP5.8%-0.7
  • Others4.4%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Apr 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.1%, followed by SPD on 30.1%. 7,544 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 4 Apr 2017, SPD loses 1.8 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has SPD 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.5average 31.6
  • CDU/CSU +1.0average 34.1
  • Linke +0.7average 7.9
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
  • AfD -0.1average 9.1
  • FDP ±0average 5.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 231 seatsSPD: 199 seatsAfD: 59 seatsLinke: 57 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsFDP: 38 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU231
  • SPD199
  • AfD59
  • Linke57
  • Grüne46
  • FDP38
  • CDU/CSU + SPD430 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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