Single poll

Civey poll of 4 April 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
30 Mar 2017 to 3 Apr 2017
Respondents
7,544
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.3%+1.5
  • SPD31.9%-0.6
  • AfD8.2%-1.8
  • Linke7.9%+0.8
  • Grüne6.8%-0.1
  • FDP6.5%+0.3
  • Others4.4%-0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Mar 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.3%, followed by SPD on 31.9%. 7,544 people were surveyed from 30 Mar 2017 to 3 Apr 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Mar 2017, AfD loses 1.8 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +0.8average 33.5
  • AfD -0.8average 9.0
  • Grüne -0.6average 7.4
  • FDP +0.6average 5.9
  • SPD +0.3average 31.6
  • Linke -0.2average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 226 seatsSPD: 210 seatsAfD: 54 seatsLinke: 52 seatsGrüne: 45 seatsFDP: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU226
  • SPD210
  • AfD54
  • Linke52
  • Grüne45
  • FDP43
  • CDU/CSU + SPD436 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne325 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP323 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne323 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP321 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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