Single poll

Civey poll of 30 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
26 to 29 May 2017
Respondents
7,563
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.9%-0.8
  • SPD25.0%-1.2
  • FDP8.8%+1.1
  • AfD8.8%+1.1
  • Linke8.7%±0
  • Grüne7.4%+0.3
  • Others4.4%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 May 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.9%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 7,563 people were surveyed from 26 to 29 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 May 2017, SPD loses 1.2 points, FDP gains 1.1 points, AfD gains 1.1 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 26.4
  • AfD +0.6average 8.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 37.4
  • FDP +0.5average 8.3
  • Linke +0.5average 8.2
  • Grüne +0.2average 7.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 165 seatsFDP: 58 seatsAfD: 58 seatsLinke: 57 seatsGrüne: 49 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD165
  • FDP58
  • AfD58
  • Linke57
  • Grüne49
  • CDU/CSU + SPD408 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.