Single poll

Civey poll of 23 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
18 to 22 May 2017
Respondents
7,539
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.7%-0.6
  • SPD26.2%-0.5
  • Linke8.7%-0.6
  • FDP7.7%+0.9
  • AfD7.7%-0.1
  • Grüne7.1%+0.1
  • Others4.9%+0.8

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 May 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.7%, followed by SPD on 26.2%. 7,539 people were surveyed from 18 to 22 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 May 2017, no party moves by more than one point.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -0.9average 27.1
  • CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.4
  • Linke +0.3average 8.4
  • AfD -0.3average 8.0
  • FDP -0.1average 7.8
  • Grüne +0.1average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 250 seatsSPD: 173 seatsLinke: 58 seatsFDP: 51 seatsAfD: 51 seatsGrüne: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU250
  • SPD173
  • Linke58
  • FDP51
  • AfD51
  • Grüne47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD423 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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