Civey poll of 16 May 2017 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 16 May 2017
- Respondents
- 7,560
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU38.3%+0.3
- SPD26.7%-0.2
- Linke9.3%+0.8
- AfD7.8%-1.4
- Grüne7.0%+0.5
- FDP6.8%+0.5
- Others4.1%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 May 2017.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.3%, followed by SPD on 26.7%. 7,560 people were surveyed from 11 to 16 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 May 2017, AfD loses 1.4 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and SPD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 36.4
- SPD -1.5average 28.2
- Linke +0.9average 8.4
- AfD -0.8average 8.6
- Grüne -0.2average 7.2
- FDP -0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- SPD175
- Linke61
- AfD51
- Grüne46
- FDP45
- CDU/CSU + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.