Single poll

Civey poll of 9 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
5 to 9 May 2017
Respondents
7,518
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU38.0%+2.4
  • SPD26.9%-1.6
  • AfD9.2%+0.3
  • Linke8.5%-0.4
  • Grüne6.5%-1.0
  • FDP6.3%-0.2
  • Others4.6%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 May 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 26.9%. 7,518 people were surveyed from 5 to 9 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 2.4 points, SPD loses 1.6 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and SPD 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 35.9
  • SPD -2.1average 29.0
  • Grüne -0.8average 7.3
  • AfD +0.4average 8.8
  • Linke -0.1average 8.6
  • FDP ±0average 6.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 251 seatsSPD: 177 seatsAfD: 61 seatsLinke: 56 seatsGrüne: 43 seatsFDP: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU251
  • SPD177
  • AfD61
  • Linke56
  • Grüne43
  • FDP42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD428 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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