Single poll

Civey poll of 2 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
25 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017
Respondents
7,566
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU35.6%+0.9
  • SPD28.5%-1.8
  • Linke8.9%+0.3
  • AfD8.9%-0.3
  • Grüne7.5%+0.7
  • FDP6.5%+0.3
  • Others4.1%-0.1

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Apr 2017.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.6%, followed by SPD on 28.5%. 7,566 people were surveyed from 25 Apr 2017 to 2 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Apr 2017, SPD loses 1.8 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.3average 29.8
  • FDP +0.5average 6.0
  • Grüne +0.3average 7.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.2average 35.4
  • Linke +0.2average 8.7
  • AfD ±0average 8.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 234 seatsSPD: 187 seatsLinke: 59 seatsAfD: 58 seatsGrüne: 49 seatsFDP: 43 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU234
  • SPD187
  • Linke59
  • AfD58
  • Grüne49
  • FDP43
  • CDU/CSU + SPD421 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne341 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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