Civey poll of 18 July 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 10,018
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne23.0%+3.0
- SPD20.0%-2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 May 2022.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,018 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 23 May 2022, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.8average 22.2
- FDP -0.8average 7.8
- SPD -0.6average 20.6
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- Grüne158
- SPD137
- AfD68
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + Grüne343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.