Civey poll of 25 August 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Aug 2022
- Respondents
- 10,014
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Jul 2022.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 10,014 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Aug 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Jul 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 23.1
- AfD -1.1average 12.1
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- SPD +0.3average 18.7
- FDP -0.2average 7.2
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 27.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- Grüne152
- SPD132
- AfD76
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD360 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.