Civey poll of 7 December 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2022 to 5 Dec 2022
- Respondents
- 10,000
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD13.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2022.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,000 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2022 to 5 Dec 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Aug 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 19.4
- Linke -1.1average 5.1
- AfD -0.9average 13.9
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- SPD -0.4average 19.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU201
- Grüne150
- SPD136
- AfD93
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP344 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.