Single poll

Civey poll of 23 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
16 to 23 May 2022
Respondents
10,050
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU27.0%+2.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • Grüne20.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Apr 2022.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 10,050 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 May 2022, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.4average 9.6
  • SPD -1.2average 23.2
  • Linke +0.7average 4.3
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 26.6
  • FDP -0.2average 8.2
  • Grüne ±0average 20.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 183 seatsSPD: 149 seatsGrüne: 135 seatsAfD: 75 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU183
  • SPD149
  • Grüne135
  • AfD75
  • FDP54
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD359 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.