Single poll

Civey poll of 28 April 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
21 to 28 Apr 2020
Respondents
12,297
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU38.9%+0.3
  • SPD15.9%-0.9
  • Grüne14.3%-1.0
  • AfD10.7%+0.6
  • Linke7.4%-0.2
  • FDP6.7%+0.2
  • Others6.1%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Apr 2020.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.9%, followed by SPD on 15.9%. 12,297 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Apr 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.7average 17.0
  • CDU/CSU +1.1average 37.8
  • AfD +0.8average 9.9
  • FDP +0.8average 5.9
  • Linke -0.4average 7.8
  • SPD -0.2average 16.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsSPD: 106 seatsGrüne: 96 seatsAfD: 72 seatsLinke: 50 seatsFDP: 45 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • SPD106
  • Grüne96
  • AfD72
  • Linke50
  • FDP45
  • CDU/CSU + SPD367 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP356 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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