Civey poll of 25 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 12,279
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU34.9%-4.0
- Grüne17.8%+3.5
- SPD14.9%-1.0
- AfD11.5%+0.8
- Linke8.1%+0.7
- FDP6.3%-0.4
- Others6.5%+0.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Apr 2020.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.9%, followed by Grüne on 17.8%. 12,279 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Jun 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 28 Apr 2020, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.5 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.3 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.3average 38.2
- AfD +1.8average 9.7
- FDP +1.0average 5.3
- Grüne -0.3average 18.1
- Linke +0.3average 7.8
- SPD -0.2average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne120
- SPD100
- AfD78
- Linke55
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.