Civey poll of 17 February 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Feb 2021
- Respondents
- 10,075
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.9
- Grüne20.0%+2.2
- SPD15.0%+0.1
- AfD10.0%-1.5
- FDP8.0%+1.7
- Linke8.0%-0.1
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Jun 2020.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 10,075 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Feb 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Jun 2020, Grüne gains 2.2 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.9 points, FDP gains 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.6average 35.6
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- FDP +0.7average 7.3
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU221
- Grüne134
- SPD100
- AfD67
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.