Civey poll of 17 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 10,045
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%-4.0
- Grüne21.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%+2.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Feb 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,045 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 4.1 points lower and Grüne 2.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.1average 33.1
- Grüne +2.0average 19.0
- FDP +1.2average 7.8
- SPD +0.9average 16.1
- AfD +0.6average 10.4
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne139
- SPD113
- AfD73
- FDP60
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.