Civey poll of 24 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 24 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 10,066
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Mar 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,066 people were surveyed from 17 to 24 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Mar 2021, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.5 points lower and Grüne 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.5average 31.5
- Grüne +3.1average 19.9
- SPD -0.5average 16.5
- FDP +0.4average 8.6
- Linke -0.4average 7.4
- AfD -0.2average 10.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne156
- SPD108
- AfD68
- FDP61
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.