Single poll
Civey poll of 31 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 24 to 31 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 10,085
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,085 people were surveyed from 24 to 31 Mar 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 21.3
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 27.8
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- Linke -0.7average 7.7
- SPD -0.5average 16.5
- FDP -0.5average 9.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- Grüne154
- SPD107
- AfD67
- FDP60
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 24 Mar 2021Civey, 7 Apr 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.