Civey poll of 14 April 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 12,297
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU38.6%+8.0
- SPD16.8%+1.0
- Grüne15.3%-6.8
- AfD10.1%-0.7
- Linke7.6%-1.0
- FDP6.5%+0.8
- Others5.1%-1.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Mar 2020.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.6%, followed by SPD on 16.8%. 12,297 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Mar 2020, CDU/CSU gains 8.0 points, Grüne loses 6.8 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.8 points higher and Grüne 3.4 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.8average 34.8
- Grüne -3.4average 18.7
- FDP +0.6average 5.9
- AfD -0.5average 10.6
- SPD +0.3average 16.5
- Linke -0.3average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU256
- SPD112
- Grüne102
- AfD67
- Linke50
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + SPD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD323 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.