Civey poll of 18 March 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 Mar 2020
- Respondents
- 12,267
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.6%+1.9
- Grüne22.1%+0.6
- SPD15.8%-0.3
- AfD10.8%-1.5
- Linke8.6%-0.5
- FDP5.7%-0.7
- Others6.4%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Feb 2020.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.6%, followed by Grüne on 22.1%. 12,267 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 Mar 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Feb 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.9 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.3 points higher and AfD 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.3average 27.3
- AfD -2.2average 13.0
- FDP -0.8average 6.5
- SPD +0.5average 15.3
- Linke -0.5average 9.1
- Grüne -0.2average 22.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- Grüne149
- SPD106
- AfD73
- Linke58
- FDP38
- CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke337 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.