Civey poll of 27 February 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Feb 2020
- Respondents
- 12,234
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.7%-0.7
- Grüne21.5%+1.0
- SPD16.1%+2.1
- AfD12.3%-2.5
- Linke9.1%-0.1
- FDP6.4%-0.4
- Others5.9%+0.6
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Feb 2020.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.7%, followed by Grüne on 21.5%. 12,234 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Feb 2020, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Feb 2020, AfD loses 2.5 points, SPD gains 2.1 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Feb 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 26.8
- SPD +1.4average 14.7
- Grüne -0.7average 22.2
- AfD -0.7average 13.0
- Linke -0.7average 9.8
- FDP -0.6average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne144
- SPD108
- AfD82
- Linke61
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.