Single poll
Civey poll of 11 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 10,025
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.7%, followed by Grüne on 24.7%. 10,025 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jul 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Jun 2019, AfD gains 2.6 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.6 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP +1.1average 7.6
- SPD +0.9average 12.9
- Grüne -0.6average 25.3
- AfD +0.3average 13.0
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.5
- Linke +0.1average 8.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne163
- SPD91
- AfD88
- FDP58
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 11 Jun 2019Civey, 1 Oct 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.