Civey poll of 11 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 11 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 10,008
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU28.3%-0.8
- Grüne23.8%+5.6
- SPD13.9%-2.5
- AfD10.7%-2.6
- FDP9.2%-0.1
- Linke7.6%-1.1
- Others6.5%+1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Apr 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.3%, followed by Grüne on 23.8%. 10,008 people were surveyed from 4 to 11 Jun 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 29 Apr 2019, Grüne gains 5.6 points, AfD loses 2.6 points, SPD loses 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.0average 12.7
- CDU/CSU +1.4average 26.9
- FDP +1.1average 8.1
- Grüne +0.5average 23.3
- SPD -0.4average 14.3
- Linke -0.3average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU191
- Grüne160
- SPD94
- AfD72
- FDP62
- Linke51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP316 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.