Civey poll of 29 April 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 29 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 10,076
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.1%-1.6
- Grüne18.2%+0.9
- SPD16.4%-1.0
- AfD13.3%+1.1
- FDP9.3%+0.5
- Linke8.7%±0
- Others5.0%+0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Feb 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.1%, followed by Grüne on 18.2%. 10,076 people were surveyed from 22 to 29 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 25 Feb 2019, CDU/CSU loses 1.6 points, AfD gains 1.1 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -0.4average 18.6
- SPD -0.4average 16.8
- AfD +0.4average 12.9
- FDP +0.4average 8.9
- Linke -0.3average 9.0
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- Grüne120
- SPD109
- AfD88
- FDP62
- Linke58
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD422 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD317 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.