Civey poll of 25 February 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Feb 2019
- Respondents
- 11,891
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.7%-0.5
- SPD17.4%+1.4
- Grüne17.3%+0.3
- AfD12.2%-0.7
- FDP8.8%-0.5
- Linke8.7%-0.6
- Others4.9%+0.6
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Feb 2019.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.7%, followed by SPD on 17.4%. 11,891 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Feb 2019, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 7 Feb 2019, SPD gains 1.4 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.9average 13.1
- SPD +0.8average 16.6
- Grüne -0.6average 17.9
- FDP +0.4average 8.4
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 30.5
- Linke ±0average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD115
- Grüne115
- AfD81
- FDP58
- Linke58
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.